Sunday, September 2, 2012

‘Human capital formation must become a major national agenda’


Rajeev Dubey is national president of the Employers' Federation of India focussing on skill development, inclusive employment – and smooth labour conditions. Speaking with Srijana Mitra Das, Dubey discussed labour-management tension recently impacting a major automobile plant, how such disputes can be avoided – and how India can actually start developing its tremendous labour potential: 



    Are labour troubles like we've seen recently at Maruti, Manesar, shaking the confidence of foreign investors looking at India? 
    
I don't think so. This is an incident confined to one unit in a particular location. I'd be surprised if it has a long-term impact on the confidence of foreign investors. One thing is certain though – what happened ought never to have happened. What's critical to going forward is quickly creating conditions for production to resume and ensuring that such violence doesn't 
recur. This will involve bringing the guilty to justice at the earliest and creating an atmosphere of trust and understanding through continual dialogue. 
    As important as punishing the guilty here is also to draw upon the strength and goodness of the large majority, which was not directly involved but is suffering the consequences. 
    Please suggest three concrete steps to ease tension bet
ween employers and employees. 
Firstly, it's important to initiate 
continuous dialogue where both employers and employees, with other stakeholders like government and civil society, listen to each other with an open mind, without past prejudices, to create an atmosphere of trust. Next, there should be agreement on a code of conduct where all stakeholders take the responsibility of creating a competitive, fair and inclusive workplace. And finally, there needs to be great focus on skill formation and capability building. 
    Are employers' interests generally opposed to workers' interests? 
    
On the contrary, there's large commonality between employers' interests and workers' interests. Employers want sustainable and profitable businesses. Employees want security of employment and decent wages. There's a moving equilibrium there which gets settled through collective bargaining and hopefully, proactive measures taken by both management and workers. 

    How has the decline of traditional trade unions and employing labour contractors instead impacted workers and employers? 
    
Traditional trade unions perhaps failed to attract the imagination of modern workers. Also, the rigours of inflexible labour laws and capital-intensive modular technology made it possible to do outsourcing. The use of contract labour's increased to gain flexibility in deployment – however, we need to address the twin issues of wages and working conditions for contract labour. Incidentally, the government sector is the largest employer of contract labour.
    On a wider scale, analysts see China losing its low-wage dividend soon. Can India use thistoitsadvantage–without exploiting labour? 
    
Yes. India can do so by focussing on innovation and productivity. Unleashing human potential and tapping the Indian genius through empowerment and inclusion – the only sus
tainable route – is much easier in a democracy than in a totalitarian society. 
    However, this will not happen automatically. This needs huge investment in infrastructure, including education and basic health, and much higher standards of governance right through the value chain. 
    Despite recent prosperity, why hasn't India seen massive investment in improving human resources, both in skilled and manual work? 
    
Well, this tends to happen in periods of rapid growth but becomes a major limiting factor for future growth. We've reached the stage for human capital formation, both for manual and knowledge workers, to become a major national agenda. 
    What are employers' top threeinterestsinIndiatoday? 
    
Creating global competitiveness through increased productivity and innovation, addressing people's issues with equity, fairness and transparency and being a good corporate citizen.



Saturday, September 1, 2012

Fiscal Deficit for April-July at 2.64 Lakh cr


Fiscal deficit during April-July reached 51% of the budgetary estimate of . 5.13 lakh crore, raising fears of the government breaching its fiscal deficit target of 5.1% of GDP for the current year. 
The renewed concerns will discourage the Reserve Bank of India from easing monetary policy and give the rating agencies reason to carry out their threat of downgrading India's sovereign rating to junk grade. 
Government's total receipts in the first four months added up to . 1.73 lakh crore, only 17.7% of the budget amount, data released on Friday showed, while its expenditure climbed to . 4.37 lakh crore, 29.3% of the budgeted amount. 
This shows the slowing growth is taking its toll on revenues while government was unable to rein in its expenditure. 
"The fiscal deficit number is concerning and if you extrapolate this, the number by the end of this year is bound to go haywire. The government is very likely to exhaust its budgeted fiscal deficit and will lap up more resources than expected. More G-secs will put pressure on yield," said Sunil Sinha, senior economist, CRISIL. The credit rating agency expects deficit to come in at 6.2% of GDP. Finance minister P Chidambaram has promised to set out a fiscal consolidation plan and has tasked a team of experts led by Vijay Kelkar to suggest a road map. The government is keen to avoid a situation like last year when it reported a fiscal deficit of 5.9% of GDP against the budgeted figure of 4.7%. During the same period last year the fiscal deficit was 55.4% of the budgeted amount, suggesting that the breach could be significant this year as well if corrective measures are not taken. The budget has assumed . 30,000 crore from disinvestment but nothing has been raised yet. It may also not get the . 40,000 crore from spectrum sale may sale if deferred payment option is given to telecom companies. 
Non-plan expenditure was 33.3% of the budgeted but plan expenditure was only 21.9% in first four months, indicating some tightening of discretionary spending.



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